Pakistan: Opposition rallies planned nationwide through May 14 over provincial assembly election date /update 1

Event

The Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI) party has called for fresh protests across the country May 8-14. The action is to denounce the almost certain deferment of the Punjab provincial assembly elections. Although the Supreme Court has ordered polls May 14 to meet a constitutional deadline, review petitions continue amid stalled political negotiations. While all parties have agreed to hold provincial and general elections concurrently to cut costs, the ruling coalition under the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) party maintains voting should occur in October instead. Organizers have not immediately publicized venue and timing details for rallies. A few thousand people may join large events in cities like Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar, and Rawalpindi. Activists are likely to defy any security restrictions, prompting mass arrests and police action, potentially leading to clashes.

Activists typically hold street marches and/or vehicle processions, as well as sit-in protests. Participation will vary by locale, with the largest turnouts likely during events addressed by PTI leader and former Prime Minister Imran Khan. Popular gathering spots include public squares, parks like Islamabad's Fatimah Jinnah/F-9 Park, stadiums, election commission and other government offices, press clubs, transport hubs like metro stations, and prominent intersections. Large turnouts are also likely at events near Khan's Zaman Park residence in Lahore, as well as near government and court buildings in Islamabad. Violence may break out quickly, especially if police use force to prevent or disperse gatherings. Escalation of protests are also likely if there are any perceived attacks on PTI leader Khan, who claims a continued threat to his life following a gun attack in November 2022. Attendees may engage in arson and vandalism of public property and vehicles, in addition to blocking major inter-city roads.

Authorities will likely monitor any gatherings and may disperse overly disruptive crowds. Officials may implement precautionary security measures like security cordons, roadblocks, and pedestrian checks in sensitive areas like the Red Zone in Islamabad. Clashes between police and activists, as well as between supporters of rival parties, cannot be ruled out. Localized transport and business disruptions are possible near rally venues through May 14. Enhanced restrictions such as the localized suspensions of internet services cannot be ruled out if significant violence occurs.

Advice

Avoid all protests and navigating roadblocks due to possible violence. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Plan accordingly for associated localized transport and business disruptions. Allow additional travel time in downtown areas through at least May 14; exercise caution near government buildings. Carry proper identification documents to present at security checks, especially in cities. Monitor trusted local media for updates on protest details as organizers may announce or modify them at short notice. Heed all security and traffic advisories.